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PZH Consultants

Financial Markets Training & Consultancy

Products Training

We provide comprehensive training in  financial markets products covering FX,, Interest rates and Derivatives.

Skill Sets Training

We provide training ​in financial market skill sets covering strategic planning, execution, risk management and client business facilitation for sales, traders, corporate treasurers, middle and your back office staff.

Consultancy

We help to ​evaluate your organisation’s positioning and advise on your corporate strategy. We will assist to plan and guide the transformation process for your corporate evolution focusing in cultural, behavioral and mindset shifts.
Interview with Vietnam Wealth Association and AFA Capital
​on the GameStop Short Squeeze Sage 
5 Feb 2021
Full video link

Equities Futures and ETF webinar in collaboration with CME Group and Grandly Financial Group

5 Feb 2021 - Thomas Poh

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Be careful when flying to the Moon

30 Jan 2021 - Thomas Poh

Much has been published on the war between retail investors taking on hedge funds who are short stocks like GameStop and AMC. Speculators serve a function of facilitating price discovery, both long and short alike. Though the process, is seldom smooth (if ever), they are still a vital part of the market. Speculators take a position when the perceived rewards outweigh the calculated risks involved. Shorting a stock is inherent risky because of the unlimited loss that could be incurred as compared to a long position which is restricted to the notional value invested in the purchase. The short squeeze sparked by retail traders’ long call positions is simply forcing the shorts to re-assess these risk matrices.

Morality and political affiliations aside, this is the brutal laws of the financial market’s jungle functioning the way they are designed to be. Markets will always tend to squeeze crowded trades regardless of the direction. With 140% of outstanding free float being shorted, GameStop was a crowded short trade waiting to be squeezed. This is not the first time this has happened. Back in 2008 Volkswagen (VW) stock quadrupled and spiked to EUR1000 after Porsche announced an audacious takeover. But the real driver then was that the market quickly realised that the short positions is more than the total free float of the VW stock available in the market.(Shorting auto stocks were used as a proxy to short the market during the Lehman crisis as regulators banned the shorting of financial stocks)

It is safe to say that most (if not all) the buyers of GameStop and all the related short squeeze trades are speculative in nature. Therefore, a strong word of caution to all the newly empowered retail traders,... ...
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Virtual Mock Assessment Centre for ESSEC Business School

18-19 Nov 2020 - Thomas Poh

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Inaugural Virtual Mock Assessment Centre for ESSEC Business School Masters of Finance graduates.  Candidates gone through an intense 2-days course conducted virtually where they are required to participate in a role play based on a true life business scenario.   A feedback session were then conducted on day 2 where both candidates and assessors share their experiences, learnings and observations.  

FX Options: An Alternative Way to Trade FX for Retail and Financial Institutions
​(published on CME Group's website)

15 Sep 2020 - Thomas Poh

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It has been over six months since the COVID-19 pandemic hit the global economy and sent financial markets into one of the wildest rides ever seen. Extreme market volatility was seen across all markets with unprecedented markets dislocations. With the Fed’s intervention, by announcing QE Infinity in March, financial markets has since embarked on a dramatic turnaround. Gold and Nasdaq both hit all-time highs, while yields dropped to rock bottom. The FX market also went on a roller coaster ride. The DXY Dollar-index made a big reversal since its near 9% spike in March mainly driven the Fed’s relief measures, the eurozone’s agreement to a EUR 750 billion pandemic fund, and the escalation of the COVID-19 spread in the US
. 
​​Click on the links below to read the full article
https://www.cmegroup.com/education/articles-and-reports/fx-options-an-alternative-way-to-trade-fx.html
https://www.cmegroup.com/education/articles-and-reports/navigating-the-choppy-markets-with-fx-options-a-retail-traders-perspective-on-fx-trading.html

Click to read more

CME's Education Partner

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 "Gaining the Edge - Understanding Market Dislocations"
- In partnership with CME Group and Interactive Brokers  (4th of May at 4pm - Singapore time)

In this session, we will discuss the importance for investors to identify signs of market dislocations and why you should adopt a holistic approach towards analyzing this turbulent market. Join in to hear the following topics:
• What is going on in the market? What is market dislocations?
• Importance of monitoring market dislocations and implications to your trading plan
• Examples of market dislocation – past and present
• Measures implemented to close the dislocations
• How to leverage these implications into your trading plan
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Please click on the youtube link below to watch the recording of the full presentation
"Gaining the Edge - Understanding Market Dislocations"

Fed’s Road to QE Infinity and Beyond (published on CME Group's website)

17 Apr 2020 - Thomas Poh

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The COVID-19 outbreak has hit the world like a hurricane.  The ongoing medical and humanitarian crisis has also sparked off an economic and financial one.  As the world realised that the virus knows no borders, global financial markets tanked.  The longest stock market bull run in history ended in the most dramatic fashion as the S&P 500 lost as much as 34%, at its lowest point, on 23rd March. 
As countries go into lockdown and the stock market went through a tsunami-styled selloff, secondary tremors were immediately felt across all other asset classes.  These asset markets went through huge (some unprecedented) market dislocations, driven by one major common theme, FUNDING.   Leading bond ETFs were trading at deep discounts against their NAVs and the USD index rose by almost 9%.  The three-month Libor jumped 16bps on 17th March 2020 while the price of Jun 2020 futures indicated Libor vs SOFR spread to be as high as 57 bps at maturity.  At one stage, the market even started to sell treasuries and gold simply to raise cash, ignoring their usual flight to safe-haven assets. 
​
​​Click on the link below to read the full article

https://www.cmegroup.com/education/articles-and-reports/feds-road-to-qe-infinity-and-beyond.html

Signs of Market Consolidation - 4 Interesting Charts
 Market Update

24Mar2020 - Thomas Poh

The funding markets seem to have found a temporary footing as central banks attempted to counter the outbreak with their own shock and awe bazookas. The ECB unveiled an EUR 750bio bond purchase 5 days ago while the Fed announced unlimited quantitative easing yesterday as their latest salvo. The US Congress is also debating an up-sized USD2 trillion stimulus package.

On the medical front, although the confirmed cases reported globally continue to rise together with the death toll, we have good news out of China where there is an announcement in the relaxation of the travel restrictions imposed on Wuhan.

All these sparked a rally in equities led by US equities futures which is currently up 5% in both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq at the time of this report writing. While it is unlikely that the bear trend in equities will end, given that the economic impact of this outbreak potentially overshadow that of the Global Financial Crisis, there are signs of the market reaching a temporary consolidation phase.

Below are 4 charts that might be interesting. ​
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1) ​​​The US Treasuries (UST) finally reversed their selloff and rallied over the last 2 days (treasuries prices have an inverse relationship with yields).  This a sign that the Fed's QE measure is restoring some calm in the market which saw heavy selling of Treasuries to raise cash.  As we recall in my previous report, UST temporarily of its traditional flight to quality correlationship with equities during last 2 weeks' violent asset selloff because everyone was just selling everything to raise funding.

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2) The stock market has lost ALL of the post-Trump election gains.  We are hovering at the point of breakout of the Trump rally which started in 2016 which in turn forms a natural support.  More interestly, if we zoom into the chart over the last 2 days... ...
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3) Doji stick technical indicator sighted yesterday.  This is a sign of market INDECISION.  Although this does not necessary signal a reversal, it does indicator that the market is struggling to make new lows in the recent selling trend.
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4) Divergence between S&P and VIX.  The equities volatility index VIX also known as the "fear index" is reversing in spite of the continued selloff in equities over the last few days.  Usually VIX climbs higher as volatility increases during equities selloffs.  The fact that there is a divergence shows signs of market exhaustion for shorts. 

Click on the link below to read the full market report

pzh_covid_mkt_update_24mar2020_-_en.pdf
File Size: 826 kb
File Type: pdf
Download File

Bottom line:  The bear trend in equities is still intact but there is risk that the market will go through a consolidation phase soon.  Time to lock in some profits for short positions.
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Kicked off a Trading Simulation course as part of NTU Platform Based Learning ,BF 3209 module on Wed. It has been a great honour and opportunity to be able to help shape the next generation of financial markets industry talents! ​​
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Very honoured to be accepted as a Professional Member of the Asia Professional Speakers Singapore (APSS)!
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Featured articles on Commercial Times 2 Oct 2019

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《期貨論壇》台灣期信ETF 引領亞洲趨勢
創新化、國際化策略,高波動特性已成價差族最青睞交易工具


芝商所顧問Thomas Poh於1日針對「全球期貨交易之現況與未來發展」發表專題演講,除了分析期貨交易的優勢,更分享了目前三大商品期貨的驅動原因以及操作策略,藉此協助投資人對全球期貨交易動向有更深入了解... ...
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Our business partners & clients

We are proud to have established partnerships with leading global financial institutions, financial market associations and universities to serve their training and consultancy needs.

"I learnt how to be a better trader and definitely will implement the techniques in my day to day activities"

Participant's feedback in Traders & Sales Foundation course
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Thomas@PZHconsultants.com
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​​www.linkedin.com/in/thomaspoh
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